Risk attribution — Ike Thiel

v1.0 · cal 2026-05-22

Component breakdown showing every feature that contributed to this patient's risk score.

Computed ≠ stored(E vs D)Open patient detail

Computed score

Group E · Imaging ordered

Stored A–J score

Group D · Elevated risk

Score buildup

Baseline 5 + +46 positive = 51

BaselineDemographicSymptomComorbidityImagingFollow-up

Demographic

Subtotal +3

Age 50–69
Most sporadic PDAC presents after age 50.
Evidence: Current age 60
+3

Symptom

Subtotal +12

Weight loss at age ≥ 50
Unintentional weight loss after 50 raises concern for occult malignancy.
Evidence: Onset 2022-02-26
+12

Comorbidity

Subtotal +13

Has chronic condition(s)
Chronic disease burden warrants ongoing surveillance.
Evidence: 11 active conditions
+13

Imaging

Subtotal +10

MRI of abdomen on record
Imaging suggests the patient has been worked up for pancreatic concern.
Evidence: MRI on 2022-03-10
+10

Follow-up

Subtotal +8

Missed surveillance
No encounter in over a year increases the chance of unrecognized progression.
Evidence: Last encounter 3288 days ago
+8

The Risk Engine computed group (E) is derived purely from the feature contributions above. The stored A–J group (D) comes from the cascade classifier in scripts/classify-risk.ts. Divergence between the two indicates a classifier rule that the scoring weights haven't captured, or vice versa — useful for calibration.